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Funny thing is the American Public felt the same way in the 90's when Clinton took a shot at UHC. Even the republicans were on board and it looked doable until Bill Krystol ,quail's campaign manager, told the republicans that if Clinton pulled it off ,then it would be the end of the republican...

" Couldn't run a two car parade" H. Clinton.

How bout a trailing sell stop say 8% of top, if it's a typical emerging market debacle you'll easily see a quick 20% hair cut even if just a correction. Hang in with a 10% stop which would allow for a marginal new high so the beautiful people can get out and it still may allow allow for the...

Maybe after the election when the PPT has loaded the boat with puts..... It almost feels surreal

Maybe Woodward's book and another 70 billion to Iraq will shake the markets...... Wasn't the debt load from VN the reason the 70's bear was so brutal,(stagflation) the real reason rummy is still on the job is because they wanted absolutely no dialogue about Iraq (new Defense Minister guy)...

I found this great interview helpful http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ERISKQATaleb.pdf#search=%22how%20does%20taleb%20trade%22 And this at the world bank site http://www1.worldbank.org/economicpolicy/managing%20volatility/contagion/definitions.html

I just read the book and found it interested but somewhat confusing as to how he trades. From what I gather he looks for crowded trades and then buys way out of the money options looking for the huge move. I'm sure it is proprietary, but I'm curious how one would go about doing this in some...

Cash transfer slows, the economy slows, the speculators and investors panick and dump their positions, and all things grind down to a slow crawl. Fed lowers rates to bail out banks..... dollars tanks and we can continue to do this forever .... :p :p :D Wait a minute, Fed raised rates...

thread is morphing from Economics to political which is fine but My initial question on Soros' s statement which I believe infers that there will be strong fallout from the US RE market heading south. He is not restating the obvious which is that the stocks in the group have gone deeply south...

Tech bubble was 80% decline , run of you mill cyclical bubble which I believe is still being wrung out of the system as de dollar continues its muscle flexing.....steroids

I'm reading his Book on trading and he lists numerous methods and some of them quite simple my question is has anyone tested any of these methods ? Are they viable? Tia Steve

I believe it is Soros who is hinting at this....

I think he's most concern with wide fallout global crisis and not just a bear in some housing stocks, I think Batman hit some of the concerns now if the consumer doesn't show up goodnight nurse:cool: the option will be the creation of paper so gold oughta head upwoody

But they won't allow it and will print money, fiat currency and all dat, I think gold is diff than oil or copper which would decline but they will still have more value than the dollar, it's the debt, loose money and chaos that will drive gold not a slow dn, at some point a currency is gonna...

There's a problem that I think is brewing, and that is the end of the housing boom in the United States and the ability of households to spend more than they earn because the value of their house is rising. ~ George Soros. Implications and comments ?deflationary?? How does the problem...

A buy signal:cool:

Holding onto the big move Buffet , turtles, J henry etc it's the hardest and the keys to kingdom

this the dow ?

No, not interested in the site just curious if anyone tested his gap stategy and if it was as profitable as they claim. Just eyeballing the last couple of months it didn't look too successful.

He's got a book out and now the gap fade system is public. he talks of 80% acc levelwhen certain parameters are met. Has anyone tested it? Basically if there is a gap and relative light volume you fade it with a target on the other side of the gap and a stop twice the size of the gap this...