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  1. S

    IV plummeting?

    Memorial Day Weekend Decay is already in the options. We used to run 3-5 days ahead in the models to price this week. One could usually get a free look by buying Thursday and Friday options.
  2. S

    KMG 70 Call

    seems to me you will be long 30 shares after covering your short. Basically a reverse stock dividend.
  3. S

    KMG 70 Call

    Why don't you think you will have to pay on the tender? They all ready reported 31% of the float will be accepted at $85. I guess your clearing firm has a lot of ninnies in the back office.
  4. S

    MYG Short

    They pay annual dividend of .36. You will most definately get 1/2 until they close this, maybe more.
  5. S

    GS Vol

    No worries. I just like to bounce ideas off other traders to see if i am missing anything. Since I am not actively trading right now, I like to keep my "skills" up. I'll be back in the game soon to put these ideas to work.
  6. S

    GS Vol

    Gee, I did not know there was going to be a quiz today. Based on the recent jump in implieds, prices will remain firm. Support is the recent low of 96.42. My research is quick and dirty. The result of many years on the floor.
  7. S

    KMG 70 Call

    :p I guess you told them where they can stick their Dutch Auction.
  8. S

    GS Vol

    i am having difficulty posting the chart. when i figure it out, i will get it. my play is related to the skew in the options. looking at a pure numbers play, a 4 to 1 shot on a 10 pt spread is an easy one to take. If you want to tie up less capital, how about the 90 put fly for 1.75...
  9. S

    GS Vol

    buying july 100/90 put spread around 2.60 looks like a good risk reward. Skew pretty high in the 90. Could do it as a ratio but I think the stock is broken.
  10. S

    KMG Put fun

    yes out of the money calls are not considered a hedge.
  11. S

    KMG Put fun

    Check SEC for TO doc under KMG.
  12. S

    KMG Put fun

    technically, it is not legal to tender shares that are hedged. If today is the deadline, then clearing firms are giving 3 day protects, hence no need to obtain a borrow.
  13. S

    KMG Put fun

    Its a great short if 30% of your stock is not tendered 85 -92, that is $3-5 in the reversal.
  14. S

    GOOG IV for June options too high?

    or take daily range and multiply by 16 to get annual vol. approx.
  15. S

    Gamma question (Natenberg cont.)

    Gamma is the rate of change of delta. On the day of expiration, delta will be either 0 or 100. The further out in time, delta just doesn't move that much, hence lower gamma. Volatility is time. More time, you have a greater chance of being in the money. Look at some simulations...
  16. S

    Goldman Sachs

    Looks like no support until 91.
  17. S

    Goldman Sachs

    Does anyone out there hear anything or is it just the Smith Barney downgrade of brokerage stocks?
  18. S

    Feedback on this options arb trade

    Repeat after me : I will put dividends and short rebate in my option pricing model.
  19. S

    Ray Neidl *Canlyon*-How could he have been tricked By delta management

    You think Calyon had some hedge funds interested in selling some Delta paper? I would hang my hat on it.
  20. S

    Another LCTM Blow up, Who?

    The fact the GM was cut to junk last week is irrelevant. The bonds were already trading below investment grade, S&P just made it official for the public. Any hedge fund that did not see this deserves to blow up. Most of these "managers" are former lawyers and bankers with deep pockets and...
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