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  1. K

    Transfering accounts with shares on margin

    Can you transfer your equity positions from one brokerage account to another if part of your account positions are held on normal margin? Is this possible, or would one of the brokerage firms force you to liquidate the positions on margin? Has anyone ever tried this?
  2. K

    do interest rate hikes hurt trend followers?

    i think this is an interesting idea. my guess is that it does have something to do with a larger perceived uncertainty in rate hike cycles. qualitatively, i can recall throughout this rate cycle analysts chiming in that the fed would rase a quarter, a half, or stop. Nevertheless it poses...
  3. K

    do interest rate hikes hurt trend followers?

    I invest in a couple trend following funds (which haven't been doing that well, lately) and I just out of curiousity I decided to correlate the performance of these funds with the 3 month note. Pretty interesting stuff. It looks like during the the last 3 interest rate hiking cycles the funds...
  4. K

    Refco Stiffing Its Customers

    i had an account with refco private clients (used to be lind-waldock). called them to wire me my money and they did, no problem. did that yesterday.
  5. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    couple points here... if dollar bulls are right, the trade deficit will get worse - to the point where, if history is any guide, a correction will get as close to imminent as possible. remember though, there has never been a current account deficit in a g7 nation that hasn't reverted within a...
  6. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    yes, I understand what you are saying, but why 4 months? that just seems a little arbitrary to me.
  7. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    i agree that the dollar is likely to go down, but do you have reasons why you think it will go so quickly? just wondering what your logic is. Our current account situation is nearly 3 times as bad as it was in the 80s before the plaza accord, and it took a couple years for the dollar to drop and...
  8. K

    International stocks and IB

    I have a normal US IB account. By default, am I allowed to make LSE and TSX trades, or will I need sign additional documents? Also, will I first need to convert my us dollars into pounds and candos to execute those trades via IB? thanks
  9. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    i'm a very passive trader. my trades typically take months, sometimes a year +, so I'm not sure it will be that entertaining to read my trades. I'm at the plate, I've started my swing...we'll see if i make contact or whiff.
  10. K

    LSE stock quote question

    thank you much
  11. K

    LSE stock quote question

    780.00 on the LSE is equivalent to 7.80 british pounds or 780 british pounds, a share? thank you
  12. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    keafan, i agree. can we both be right? :p too many spec longs commercial shorts right now in the gold pit. maybe we cleared them out today with the sharp drop.
  13. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    ivan, every G7 country that ever had a trade deficit as a large as ours, as percentage of GDP, encountered a reversion of that deficit to zero. either domestic prices are going to drop relative to other countries, or the US currency is going to drop...or maybe (probably) both. the second...
  14. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    long term trend is looking at a decade's worth of data. source is sentimentrader.com, which uses COT data from the CFTC on commodity/currency calls www.cftc.gov/cftc/cftccotreports.htm
  15. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    sentimentrader agrees... "Trader positions in the U.S. Dollar are at their most bearish for the greenback ever. Past peaks in the Dollar have benefited gold stocks, consumer non-cyclicals, insurance and utilities As you can see from the Commitments of Traders chart on the site, the...
  16. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    if the global economy faced deflation, i wouldn't put my money in usd. i would put my money in gold. yes, gold as a deflation hedge. the reason is that the main price driver in gold is E/P (the reciprocal of P/E ratio). In times of bad deflation, risk premia increase and P/E ratios get smaller...
  17. K

    Dollar decline, round II, starts here

    looks like more chop, but a down leg is looking right around the corner. i don't believe that if the economy starts to fail bernanke would even think once of supporting the greenback. according to some sources i've read, his seminal work on the great depression was that government failed to let...
  18. K

    Crash Countdown

    haaaaaaaaaaaa. just subscribe and take the other side of the trade.
  19. K

    Crash Countdown

    ha ha ha. prechter. sorry, but he's officially a great contrarian indicator. while i believe some of his deflation arguments long term, his timing is awful and his views are based entirely on a theory of drawings (huh??!!!) . that article reads "Bob Prechter is sounding the alarm", or some...
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