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  1. T

    Is a global depression really priced in already?

    yup...but the market can be inefficient short term...studies have shown this...some information is discounted quickly...some the market digests over time... Short Term the market is not a wise, all-knowing processor of information and seer of the future… Short term, the market is an idiot...
  2. T

    Is a global depression really priced in already?

    yup...but the market can be inefficient short term...studies have shown this...some information is discounted quickly...some the market digests over time... Short Term the market is not a wise, all-knowing processor of information and seer of the future… Short term, the market is an idiot...
  3. T

    Is a global depression really priced in already?

    small caps outperforming the wider indexes would be an early indicator as well...
  4. T

    You can shoot down this idea...Buy QQQ under $180.

    SP peaked at what 3390 in February ? you're saying that if we fall to 677 (down 80%) from the highs that it won't be ARMAGEDDON ? I'LL give you chance to retract that statement ...before saying what I really think of it...
  5. T

    You can shoot down this idea...Buy QQQ under $180.

    are you kidding you can't compare any price 15 mos ago with today !
  6. T

    Odds of oil talks cratering?

    source is how Trump has acted over the last 4 years !
  7. T

    Is a global depression really priced in already?

    follow the 10 year Note !! a sustained and consistent rally into midyear / the fall will indicate a more likely "V" shaped recovery
  8. T

    Is a global depression really priced in already?

    yea...a "U" or "L" recovery is much more likely...
  9. T

    Is a global depression really priced in already?

    we're already in a recession dude ...and more than a tiny one...
  10. T

    You can shoot down this idea...Buy QQQ under $180.

    another +30% down ?? you best buy and gun and move to the hills (or underground) as there will be blood in the streets...
  11. T

    Odds of oil talks cratering?

    the "Russian Hysteria" is justified; Trump owes russian oligarchs much money...They bought loans (or were assigned loans) from Deutsche Bank (spelling ?)
  12. T

    Odds of oil talks cratering?

    but yea...if some agreement is reached there may be a spike to high 20's; BUT this isn't a supply problem as much as it is a DEMAND problem...we are sinking into a "depression like" environment...only MASSIVE cuts will keep oil from the high teens over the next months
  13. T

    You can shoot down this idea...Buy QQQ under $180.

    sure; MSFT, GOOG, AAPL, FB, AMZN are over 40% of the ETF. Will be a monster after this is over...will move quickly though.
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