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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    OK, thanks. Your way of trading the patterns is very interesting and I'm surprised there isn't an option for this already built into APS. Still, I think the results are no more out-of-sample if you change the interpretation method afterwards to what would have been best. I always referred to...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    Thanks goodgoing, it's quite refreshing to see some actual content here. I'd like to add two things. First, please note that my results are always for the very same period of 05/07/2002 to 08/22/2008 that Harris also used for his test in his article. Second, Harris himself got 128...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    You left out important information to deliberately deceive again you lying POS. Only very few days had >= 7% range from open to high/low and if they did, chances are the result in terms of stopped-out or target-hit was the same for exit on the next day. So the success rate only differed by...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    I didn't invent anything, just saw your poor garbage and replied. What you did is wrong, plain and simple. Because you still fail to understand, I'll even help you further. Blue dots are days. I made it clear in my earlier post that you either lied or you are a fool. So technically, I...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    First of all, I'm not your babysitter and won't reply to your garbage infinitely. Now, moving on. You just lied again. Or maybe you are too dense to realize the difference between any and average. At this point, I'm not sure what's more likely. About your pseudo-analysis. Posting individual...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    You just lied again.
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    Just wanted to point out that you LIED again. First you claimed buy-and-hold return was almost 0 while it was in fact 62% during the out-of-sample period in the article you quoted. Now you claim I compared 30 to 2000 trades. That's again plain wrong. Harris' 8 long-only patterns selected a total...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    All 1562 possible trades have the average expectancy of 60.5 % success rate with both stop and target 7 % away from entry. That's a profit factor of about 1.53, assuming avg_win/avg_loss ratio of 1. That's the average expectancy for every single possible trade you goddam idiot. That also...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    How about you try to read and understand first what I wrote, then reply? In the article, 8 long-only patterns were forward-tested from 05/07/2002 to 08/22/2008. With daily QQQQ data, trades were entered on the open. That's all your possible trades, about 1562. The job of the patterns was to...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    There are lots of small flaws in what you did. You can't average individual profit factors of 8 different patterns into 1.3125 because some patterns have more trades than others, apart from slightly different amounts of avg_win and avg_loss. Only two of your in-sample patterns have identical...
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    Out of sample testing of patterns

    How can you tell readers that buy-and-hold return of 62 % is almost zero? Those eight long-only patterns were tested from 05/07/2002 to 08/22/2008. QQQQ went up from 29.27 to 47.49 in that period. If you randomly selected entry dates in that period and used the same exits, you would get the...
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    Please ban TROLL BernardRichards

    He advocates mass murder of civilians, even children, and everyone who disagrees with him is "anti-Semitic". Clearly shows how this Arab- and Muslim-hating troll is sick in the head. I think he's not just a troll, that's also a violation of your Conduct Rules. He even complained in two...
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    Please ban TROLL BernardRichards

    The whole point of his ET activity is to provoke others with his racist and religious insults. A troll if I ever saw one. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2743978#post2743978 http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2763677#post2763677...
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    How Does One Remove a Moderator that Instead Becomes a Biased Censor?

    I only had the last page in my browser cache but this should still be enough to ban racist troll BernardRichards.
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    What Happened to My Recent Threads Joe?

    To clear things up, it might help to have a look at the last page of that thread before it got deleted. I agree, trolls should not be protected by deleting their garbage, they should be banned instead. It is one thing to be pro-Israel but quite another thing to insult American veterans by...
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    American veterans say Israeli attack on USS Liberty was deliberate

    I was shocked when I saw this recently. http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-3319663041501647311#
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    Is religion a sign of mental weakness?

    Feel free to use it in any way you want.
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    Is religion a sign of mental weakness?

    Great resource, thanks Free Thinker. It has to have effects on society as a whole if so many people are so hopelessly deluded.
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    Is religion a sign of mental weakness?

    There are tough questions about our origin and future that cannot be answered by any of us. Acknowledging that and admitting to not know those answers is the honest way. Making up or believing in fairy tales just to have some arbitrary answers is the fool's way. The weak minded have given in...
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    When am I going to be recognized on ET for my vast contributions

    C'mon buddy. Who's our god Apophis?
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