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Man, if only there was some way to predict volatility. Visual backtesting with BBand width looks like when it increases the odds are better.

How does one determine how much a future has been moving?

Win rate.

Based on ADR, both of these histories have an ADR of 2,000. Am I looking for volatility and ADR or something? Intra-ADR? Then maybe the first on should be 10000 and the second one should be 4000? Is there a name for this?

A post in this forum proved to me that no one understand trends. The comment was that, to find a trend, you have to have one point at which you do not have a trend, and then the next candle closes and you say ok, now this is a trend. People said that was incorrect. That is the only way to...

I rarely trade options so I don't understand how that applies to me.

Every successful trader I've talked to uses that strategy. Hold on, possibly I should say, every trader I've talked to on the forum that I believe is profitable uses a strategy similar to what you posted.

I'm uncertain what Texas hedge means.

What happened today in the afternoon, how come there was so much trading? Including shorts on this one. The two in the middle are not green because price didn't go far enough in the new direction before switching.

Not too many successes here.

However I look at this I think that it could work for shorts, too. We are calling tops and bottoms rather than looking for trend confirmation.

Today didn't really work that well.

A few years ago I explored 5 second volume charts. I need to explore these again.

I don't know. Increase down to 4 points on ES, close at 2 points past original entry and let one ride in case you pick the low of the day? This is what I just imagined right now.

Too bad I don't still have SierraChart, I could code this up really fast to identify the lines in real time.

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Can you post a chart?

Not too knowledgeable about nodoji but dbphoenix is a charlatan. Ironfist is intelligent, though - if he says something I'd probably believe it. He is almost as critical of everyone as me, and that's a complete method in his thread with no guesswork or any other silliness that gurus here post.

This sounds like you're talking about money management being the factor here. Are you holding when it goes in your direction for many bars?

Ironfist determined similar conclusions in this thread, legitimately that you have to take every opening to make money in a trend following system. Additionally, that's the only thread I've ever seen someone give a complete definition of a trend and how to identify it in real time. I ponder if...