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but not the same as 5 vs 10 successive heads :), that was my point all along. So what do you want me to read?

That wraps it up then.

In that case it should be just as easy to get a straight run of 100 as it is to get 5 consecutive tails, but unfortunately for you it's not.

that's exactly what I have said previously, the longer the run of heads, the more chances of getting a tails, because a possibility of continueing to get consecutive heads becomes more and more remote with every next consecutive heads :)

50/50, but do you understand what 50/50 means when analysing probability of continuation? And because with every consecutive heads the chances of getting another heads deminish that makes it more possible to get tails.

fine, it's a mathematical fact that it is a 50/50, it's also a fact that it is a lot more unlikely to get 20 consecutive compared to 3 consecutive. That's probability, and gamblers fallacy is different to what I am saying here. You can laugh all you want, you both fail to prove me to be wrong...

I do prefer your slogan :)

"more remote" is key to this arguement, what is the opposite of more remote? Also 50/50 is a lot more advantageous than 10/90, is it not?

If you can prove to me that it is just as likely to get 20 consecutive tails as 3, then I will agree with you :)

Yes, I believe that to be true even though it remains to be a 50/50 case. In trading we rely on probabilities all the time, the same in the coin flip, because it's to do with 50/50 and decreasing probability of continueing to get consecutive tails. Come on guys, the chance of getting 21...

Of course I am not & I am not arguing for the sake of it. Nobody can dispute that chances of getting 30 consecutive tails are the same as getting 10 or 50, even though it is a 50/50 chance on every single coin flip. I just want to repeat that I have never said that you are bound to get 20...

3 lower peaks + divergence

covered 1526.50

You are really something, here is a paragraph from your link: What is the probability of flipping 21 heads in a row, with a fair coin? 1 in 2,097,152!!!

I didn't refuse to answer your question, as I never said what you posted there was no need to oblige the request. It is a 50/50, but what happens to odds of getting tails after 10 consecutive, then 20, then 30? The odds do not remain the same. edit - and you link confirms the above, I did...

I am also short from 1530.25

My man, you just won't get 100 consecutive tails perhaps until you are dead many times over :) I have a better question for you, assuming a 50/50 outcome on every single toss, what are the odds of getting a run of 20 consecutive tail tosses?

But assuming 50/50 chance what is, in your opinion, the absolute highest consecutive amount of tails you may get? Would you say any amount is possible? BTW casinos do employ a maximum bet in most games, do they not? And statistics favours both at 50/50, so it's an equal chance, my opinion is...

Theoretically, yes.

I think it's reasonable to say that any single coin toss carries a 50/50 chance, but due to overall statistics of 50/50 eventually you'd get tails and because of that undisputed fact probability increases, it sure doesn't decrease. Maybe I am not understood on this one or not making myself...