Recent content by Zadig

  1. Z

    Crude Oil 2021-Q4

    Well it all depends on your time frame. Daily chart has been bearish since it stopped creeping up and showed very weak momentum on the last upswing. But big picture this is probably only a retracement in strong uptrend. Definitely doesn’t look like a longer term top (yet)
  2. Z

    Crude Oil 2021-Q4

    Well, a retracement was overdue. I don't know much about oil, but I know a bull market when I see it. That is a bull market.
  3. Z

    Source for Session/Market Hours?

    www.cmegroup.com I believe the default session times in Sierra Chart are correct (more than 90% of the time at least)
  4. Z

    How to short German 5 Years Gov Bond?

    Futures : look for the FGBM contract (Eurex). These are bond prices so they are inversely correlated to the yield. If you want to bet on the yield going down, you should go long the bonds.
  5. Z

    Zadig's journal

    That didn't age well.
  6. Z

    Zadig's journal

    Tried the long side in GC several times starting there. Seemed like a decent swing, strong support below. But I got impatient and got out near breakeven I still think today is no time to short. I will avoid trading GC/SI Europe morning session. Way too slow. Will try the Bunds, they seem to...
  7. Z

    Zadig's journal

    The main question is, do you have an edge, do you make money? If you do, then good, do whatever you are doing. If you don't, then I would recommend that you try a higher time frame, even if you have to trade something else in order to accommodate your account size, like individual stocks, micro...
  8. Z

    Zadig's journal

    Algos have a huge edge when it comes to speed. Speed is crucial when trading these low time frames. Humans are slow. I tried it. Doesn't work for me. What I enjoy most is to stay in a trade for a swing on a 15m time frame with a close stop.
  9. Z

    Zadig's journal

    Money can always be made, I guess, but I try not to compete with algos on low time frames. I am not quick enough for that.
  10. Z

    Zadig's journal

    5m, 15m, 30m... That is not a market to trade (for me at least) : Interestingly, I managed to catch the green range expansion bar (shorts being squeezed out of a false breakout on a 5m time frame). Then I got hammered in the noise, playing for a real break to the downside.
  11. Z

    Zadig's journal

    I had low conviction on these trades. I really need to learn to sit on my ass and relax until something happens.
  12. Z

    Zadig's journal

    Today I insisted on trading the noise and being stopped out in gold while silver was the one to short. -1.36% Don't trade when there is no trade (low volume chop).
  13. Z

    Zadig's journal

    8 ??? I can't stand losing 10-20 times in a row and it is very likely if I aim for 8 times my risk. I suspected it would drop more but I am a chicken. Could have grabbed 10 points with hindsight 20/20 Actually, I should have looked at silver, the short case was even more compelling. I would...
  14. Z

    Zadig's journal

    GC strong support at 1784; strong resistance at 1812. Let's see if the core PCE number gets us out of this range. I suspect we will chop some more. Bias down for the day. 2 points : flag within an expanding pattern. Not exactly a trader's wettest dream but seemed good enough Can't seem to...
  15. Z

    Is it a good idea to buy bonds with leverage for retail trader?

    This is a way to make pennies if everything is stable and lose big in case of an important change. Similar to selling out of the money options premium. Riskless arbitrage opportunities have pretty much disappeared, as far as I know. In this case it seems to me that if the Fed hikes aggressively...
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