You are right that the previous close is significant. But when there is a gap, and the market has been trading beyond the gap, I found the current day's open becomes more significant.
Now ES has traded below the open (1043), it would be interesting to see if it can penetrate the open again to the up side. If it fails, it will be a bearish sign in short term.
I wish I hadn't moved my stop. My mind is too weak to hold a good trade.
The theory is, if Dow is more bullish than Nasdaq when going up, both markets will go down. Usually Dow follows (and lags) Nasdaq. Of course, this is only a general theory which may not always hold.
Short ES 1046.25
There is a divergence between NASDAQ and Dow right now, which suggests the market might reverse direction.
I over slept this morning as well. Do you guys know what ES's opening price was today? Thanks.
Market looks like to go lower from here, I expect it tests yesterday's low. I've missed my best short signal around 1039, so I probably won't trade ES today.
In historical pattern, Thursday is a down day. That might explain the late drop.
Perhaps today will also signal the long waited market top of this year?