Recent content by tomtuttletacoma

"MMMMM BILLY MAYS LOVES BIG CITY SLIDERS... ALSO, BIG CITY HOOKERS" my personal fav :D

its a slow work day for me, my friend on twitter sent me this funny spoof of billy mays (at least i hope it is, or else he's gotten into the bad shrooms) lmao http://twitter.com/_BILLYMAYS_

yeah, search term "uranium stocks" peaked around april 2007 just as in your chart: http://tinyurl.com/a2wz6s also, that site posted daily search trends data vs s&p, def a self reinforcing process imho http://tinyurl.com/9b6pev

seems like this would have also been useful for other bubbles. i searched for ethanol, this is the chart for 2006's search volume above a chart for imperial sugar (IPSU)

kalman filtering. look it up. love it. not everyday a guy gives you free money :D

its just confusing where you're getting the betas from. if they're static estimates from linear regression then your hedge will get messed up over time. linear regression averages your parameter over time, and are thus bad estimates for factor sensitivities for hedging. you will need to...

i am sure someone has already mentioned it, but livermore wrote a book after he went destitute for the last time (b4 the suicide) that details everything about his market key... here it is on amazon: http://tinyurl.com/67h7gm

dollar will decline for foreseeable future. richard duncan's dollar crisis hypothesis is playing out to a T http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ba673d22-b977-11dd-99dc-0000779fd18c.html?nclick_check=1

the analogy you're using is flawed: one person getting a hang nail doesn't increase the chances of someone else getting a hang nail. when someone sees a stock decline, they google "stock market" or some other term. If they then sell their stock it will further depress the price of stocks...

depends on your situation. in a forclosure, i think they can go after your assets after they repossess the house. in a short sale (different from in stocks) the bank forgives some or all of the negative equity and the homeowner walks. of course if you don't pay any of it to anyone... kind...

here's another silly chart showing the oil bubble topping and google searches predicting it about a month b4 http://tinyurl.com/8v7syl finding all this distressing and hard to believe. but perhaps thats because i didn't think of it first... :confused:

found this on one of my many deep sea internet trawls, i don't even know what to say. this in an indicator to remember for future market crashes! it uses google to predict market tops and bottoms http://tinyurl.com/9jghw3

short term pain, long term gain: buy on all these dips in real beat up but not bankrupt sectors. then go to bed for 6 months. Wake up and count your money.