Recent content by toben

Yes I am withdrawing my request.

I am not in support of the War or Putin in any way, but the Russian index is down 86%. At the height of the great depression the dow was only down 60%. This war will end eventually and we might as well own some companies at 90% off. Maybe they will return to 50% off in a few years. Seems worth...

At $100 i want to be sold out. As it goes down I need to invest greater amount of % of my total money and be fully invested as it approaches the bottom.

Yes and I have manually bought and sold the last 3 pops. It is time to automate this sucker.

Here is a graph of the last 5 years. It actually trades between .000000200 and .000000010 with the majority between .000000120 and .000000020 so this will be my range. Above 120 I will hold nothing. Below 20 I will hold max. I am going to toss $10,000 of house money at this if I can get a...

By combining linear regression with sample numbers I generated the following buy/sell table from 9-102 BUY Table Count Buy per 1 % holdings 9 10000000 91.92% 14 5000000 86.87% 19 2000000 81.82% 24 1500000 76.77% 29 1000000 71.72% 34 900000 66.67% 39 800000 61.62% 44 750000 56.57% 49 700000...

The real life range has been a consistent oscillation between 10 and 200 for the last 5 years. It has rarely gone under 20 and rarely gone over 120. I picked 1-100 for my example to make it easy. I need a formula instead of a table. It needs to work off a percentage as the assumption is I gain...

These predictions appear nice, but you are forgetting about the real drivers of demand for bitcoin. They are the following: 1. Nerds and Libertarians 2. Drug dealers and buyers 3. Collapsing foreign currencies 4. Scammers and financial criminals 5. The news cycle 1. Nerds and Libertarians -...

Hello, Rather than reinvent the wheel I am trying to identify a formula that will optimize the amount of stock to hold for a stock that oscillates between 1 and 100. At $1 we want to be 100% invested in the stock. At $100 we want to be all cash. Is there a formula that would optimize this...

Hello, I need help using options to hedge against a huge market crash similar to the year 2000 or 2008. This should be a protective strategy so if the markets don't crash, I didn't lose too much money buying insurance. I am going to invest 0.5% in buying puts. I have about $400K in the...

I am looking for annual volatility of West Texas Intermediate crude oil to determine the value of an option on a project. A project will become more valuable over the next 2 years unless crude declines. Therefore I am trying to determine the value on an option to do the project 1 or 2 years...

Can we calculate the volatility of WTI instead of a future? I would assume the volatility is different. Also I think I need a 1 year volatility measure. Should I grab daily closes for a trailing year and use that for volatility? Or 10 years as that will be the most valuable portion of the life...