Recent content by shh

long OTM call on BTC and short OTM put on ETH would have worked really well last year

@Atikon, I find the volatility cone charts particularly useful. By the way, what do you think of ETH and BTC IV converging in the first chart? any insights?

interesting analytics, what broker/platform is that? I googled devol but not much luck yet

hey man, why so much anger?

Thank you. What you explained makes sense. One should know how many trades on average he will carry, based on past performance. That way over/under loading can be avoided. Reading your response to GTA and enjoying the exchange of ideas.

Thanks for insights. Please imagine you have position limit of 10 each 10% of total capital, what happens if you are already loaded and waiting for the exits to trigger and meanwhile new trades are emerging that you cannot take due to being already loaded? Does that type of randomness largely...

@ValeryN , hypothetically, would the bargain hunter algo take a position in AEP stock on July 27th? The price behaviour kind of resembles the theory you shared on the forum. Thanks in advance

Hey Val, thanks for clarifying things. Your explanation makes the logic pretty understandable. "I don't but some people pyramid and most of the time it will decrease your pain. Till that one time when you can't take the pain any longer and will pull a plug." also reflects the truth of how some...

Hi Val, I have been reading your thread today, and I have some questions. When a buy signal is generated, if tomorrow's price cannot hit 10% lower to fill the buy order, that signal will be removed forever? or the signal stays in the list for the next days? If it is the latter, we might end up...

Are all the purchasers of for example Robinhood's order flow market makers? Or non-MM hedge funds can also purchase order flow and screen it permanently (until it is cancelled)? Thanks in advance for the explanation

Bearish put vs Short Iron Condor: 6.65 Vs 10.85, so $4.20 gainer if underlying hits 235?

Hi Dest, in what situation the 220-210 strike gap will become a problem? A slow, down market with suppressed IV maybe?

If pre-earning IV is at double the normal levels, your 1 std-dev IC should be safe. Sure the underlying can move to the wings (I think we technically call them terminals), but so much IV will collapse, that regardless your structure will survive or even make money.

Wow super lean. I think you might enjoy this link below. The ideas originally come from Ray Peat blog. https://www.tpauk.com/main/article/ray-peat-phd-on-thyroid-temperature-pulse-and-tsh/

SweetBobby, if ES price moves up tomorrow, so that you cannot short the next cycle puts (at 50 strike points higher), for $3 or better, what will happen? Would you for example sell at 100 strike points above the long puts costing $1,018.20? Isn't it safer to put the entire diagonal at once? or...