Recent content by rockefehler

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    The end of private ownership in the means of production

    So far, manufacturing jobs made obsolete by automation have been replaced by service jobs ... if we get to a point that low-level service jobs get replaced by technology, and there are no replacement jobs created, we have to put some restraint to this technological development (e.g., laws...
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    Only Apple

    Teeth gnashing moment: I would have bought a nice amount of puts a few days ago, but all my capital is with brokers who don't do puts ... ah well, let's see if it indeed drops to 460 :D
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    Only Apple

    Now I'm curious whether AAPL will indeed show the sharp drop hinted at 2 months ago, after topping at 620. SPX seems to have topped at 1380 as predicted; it isn't entirely clear where the next bottom will be (below 1300 I think).
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    Estimation and Prediction Trading

    Any quantifiable approach that has real merits and is published, will lose its value pretty quickly, that's obvious. Adding to that, the author apparently is a known fraudster. Perfect for party people to base an approach on :)
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    Estimation and Prediction Trading

    Forecast, prediction, whatever ... I'm not interested in semantics, I'm interested in what gets the job done. How can you congratulate me now; SPX hasn't reached the 1380-90 zone yet, and could continue upward from there if it reaches it.
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    Estimation and Prediction Trading

    First, how can one trade with positive expectancy without making some kind of (at least probabilistic) prediction? I predict continuation of moves and turning points based on patterns I discovered over the years. For instance, on 6/18 I predicted a top for SPX at 1380-1390 (in the "Only...
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    What is your edge ?

    Pattern recognition.
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    Only Apple

    I surely hope it for you Mr. Cactiman! But, as you know, the market knows no mercy :) It looks quite bullish for now; SPX may top around 1380-1390. So far it looks corrective though, and that means there will follow more downward action, settig a new bottom. We'll see.
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    Only Apple

    I agree with that article; looking at the weekly chart, if it tops between 610 and 620, it may drop sharply to say 460, forming the C wave of a larger A-B-C. Long-term analysis: the Dow will trade till the end of 2013 in the range 11500-15000.
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    Only Apple

    It looks bullish, could form a top around 610 though. Then a bigger C wave down? Not sure at this point. Target 1250 was not hit yet.
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    Only Apple

    It may top though around 600, and another wave down may start.
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    Only Apple

    LOL, yeah ... including me. Today's action makes me think it has bottomed. Looking at the weekly chart also.
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    Only Apple

    If people start predicting Black Monday, the bottom is near :D
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    Only Apple

    13/217 = 2%?? 470. If it makes a higher bottom and top, my prediction is canceled.
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