Brilliant post. I have been using systematic trading for many years and fully automated bots for the last 6 in the same fashion you describe them. I exploit trends, pullbacks, statistical edges mostly on EOD timeframes. The lower the timeframes and less time a strategy survives as that market...
Thanks for the quick reply. It’s definitely instructive and insightful. No doubt about it. I have just (re)read your initial post and it’s pretty clear to me now what the rules are/were so I’ll take it for what it is.
Hey . Don’t despair seeing all those winning trades and no losing ones. You’re not the only one not being able to “do it”.
I really enjoy the read but it might be a bit too good to be true. If it’s indeed true we all have a hope so so let’s ask Volpri (if he hasn’t done so yet) to provide us...
Reading the blog as I find it fascinating and full of winning trades. Question: why didn’t you take a short position just after the 9am large bear bar followed by the 9:05 ( I think ) confirmation similar to what you did in the previous posts ?
You make me a believer. All I have to do is put 13 more years into day trading (Sorry. I don’t really buy the 2 year fast track)
Kidding aside. Congrats ! Don’t change a thing when you scale up.
That’s a great question. The short answer is: similar returns with the benchmark with lower beta and lower drawdowns.
There are a bunch of ETFs selling puts in a similar fashion and their returns are in line with the indexes but less volatile...
AI is already here in one form or another, and it’s here to stay the same way that the classic computers came and never left the field.
But in a such noisy and ever changing environment like securities pricing it will have a pretty hard time ( especially nailing predictions on longer time...