Recent content by NoWorries

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    Problem using TWS market scanner

    Hi, I'm always using IB's TWS market scanner to list stocks based on Highest Option Implied Volatility. Today however, I get an error message 'no items retrieved' . Is anyone experiencing the same problem? (The rest of TWS works fine, including market scanner for other parameters than option...
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    Backpropagation neural network source code

    These (and many other) algorithms are readily available (for free) within the R language (www.r-project.org). Since it's open source, you can also take the C source code directly and use it in your own projects.
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    Quants --Alive and Kicking

    Just to clarify, I am the developer of the 'Kauai' system on Collective2, and use the alias 'Science Trader' on that website. I am not related to the person posting under the science_trader alias here. I do not manage millions of dollars, but in 2008 I did outperform the Dow, S&P500 and...
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    How should you optimize a trading system?

    Some of the approaches in the area of statistics and machine learning might be useful to look into. For example, cross-validation is a common method to mitigate the problems of curve-fitting to some extend. Walk-forward testing can be considered a particular implementation of...
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    Terry's Tips - A Cautionary Tale

    Click on "The Grid" under "Find a System" in the menu on the left. Then under "what it trades", make sure only "options" is selected, and you'll notice there are currently 32 options systems offered through C2.
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    IB Market scanner: "No items retrieved"

    I know it works in real-time, but why would that prevent it from working after hours? In fact I've used it after-hours many times: sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't. I contacted IB a week ago about this problem through chat. They weren't able to solve it or explain what the problem...
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    IB Market scanner: "No items retrieved"

    I created a "Market scanner" page in IB's TWS. It works fine during market hours, but after hours (like now) I often get a yellow line saying "no items retrieved" instead of the scan results, regardless which parameters I choose. Is that normal?
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    Beta values?

    Most likely the differences are due to: - sample size (e.g. 3 years, 5 years, 10 years etc.) - unit of analysis (e.g. daily or monthly returns) - frequency of updating (calculated yesterday or a week ago) - and perhaps the benchmark used (e.g. S&P500, Russell 2000 etc.)
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    The best weekly systems

    To directly answer your question: Yes, I follow the signals of this system (note: I am not the developer). It trades NYSE-listed stocks Monday at the open with no leverage. Over the past 2 years it averaged 50% per year. I also keep a blog, where I show some analysis of this and other...
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    Data mining

    The out-of-sample testing (and cross-validation in general) is only a partial solution. It works nice if your out-of-sample results are similar to your in-sample results every time. More likely they are not. If it looks bad, you reject your hypothesis (=trading idea) and start over again...
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    Opinions on "TigerDirect"

    I bought a Dell Dimension PC at Dell Outlet, used it for about a year without any problems and then sold it on Craigslist for a profit.
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    Newey-West Standard Errors

    Newey and West discuss some alternatives in: Newey & West (1994). Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation. Review of Economic Studies, v61, n4 (October 1994): 631-53. see also: http://cran.r-project.org/doc/vignettes/sandwich/sandwich.pdf
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    More Excel help needed

    Using R, this would collapse to a single line: > a <- "00012301200123456780000001230100001234500" > > paste(lapply(lapply(strsplit(strsplit(paste(a,"0",sep=""),"0")[[1]],""),rev), paste, collapse=""), collapse="0") [1] "00032102100876543210000003210100005432100" >
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