Recent content by Need4Greed

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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    You may be forgetting the equation: Change in premium = change in intrinsic val + change in extrinsic val Change in intrinsic val = movement of underlying stock Change in extrinsic val = decay in time value (affected by change in IV and change in days till exp) Clearly the movement in the...
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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    I don't think your assumption holds if I buy a call when IV is at its peak. The volatility drop would cause a big drop in premium.
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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    According to your post, the equation is "Port = delta + 0.5gamma^2 + 0.25theta + [arith.inverse]vega" What changes do I need to make to apply it to this instance? What is the arithmetic inverse of vega? Simply 1/vega? And in this instance, port would just be the change in initial investment in...
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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    2 questions: 1) Doesn't this assume that implied volatility is only a function of strike price? I don't think this applied to stock breakouts. IV spikes before the catalyst (typically earnings) then falls quickly after the breakout, even when the stock moves. But the assumption you (and most...
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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    So to simulate the X% move to the final state, you just lower the strike for the original option by a factor involving X% correct? If so, why don't you lower the strike this way: Strike = Strike(1-x)? Does this have to do with log math? Sorry if newbie question, read many options books and many...
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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    Its intrinsic value will. But the extrinsic value includes the implied volatility, which changes during the period you hold the option.
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    Use greeks: Predict extrinsic value change after an X% move in underlying

    Hey Folks, Suppose you buy an ITM call (lasts 30 days) to profit from breakout from a flat base. I'd like to predict the change in extrinsic value if an X% move occurs within 25 days given an option's delta, gamma, theta, vega, and vomma. Doesn't need to be perfect, just need a good...
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