Recent content by MarketDog

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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    Great post Eric! You've expressed what marketsurfer and a few others are missing. The edge is not in finding a trend. Or determining if stock A has been up for 5 days then it should be up for 5 more days X% of the time. That's for the birds. The edge is simply allocating your money...
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    Texas traders

    Check out Frisco...just north of Plano. I lived there a year or so...very nice. Woodlands is nice too. Medical facilities are top-notch. If I had to choose...I'd go with Woodlands. MT
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    Texas traders

    from Huntsville area. North of Woodlands & Conroe. MT
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    First, please don't fall for the trap that your Slow Turtle system is the only system of its kind out there in the trend following world. There's more variations to the Turtle method than we could shake a stick at. Hell, even you mentioned that you received your version of the Slow Turtle...
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    Yes, if you're referring to Buffett and his berskshire hathaway stock it had a monthly all-time high back in June of 1998 that was not surpassed until the month of November 2003. That's a little over 5 years that investors had to wait in order for these "strategies that have stood the test of...
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    System Development with acrary

    Acrary, your response is greatly appreciated. I am having some problems understanding your meaning of pair trading two non-correlated models for each security, basket, or sector. Do you mean just matching two models up for each sector with your correlation studies or are you referring to...
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    System Development with acrary

    acrary, a big "Thank You" for sharing your process with us. Your discussion on the strategic design of systems is one of a kind. Please don't stop! I'm sure there are many like me that are quietly absorbing your posts and anxiously awaiting the next one. I have a question for you in regard...
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    Oil over $51 Barrel - Need for Refineries

    Damir00, if the price of oil has not been going up...just our US Dollar going down...then how is it in "euroland" as you say, that the price for a barrel of oil is the same as 2 years ago? The Euro has gone up versus the US Dollar and isn't oil priced in US Dollars?
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    vacation..

    ptunic, if you're trading is entirely mechanical and you do not day trade...why can't you just take your laptop with you on vacation? That's what I do. Then you can just download your data after market closes and then run your systems.
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    newbie systems development questions

    Thanks Bob111 & kww. Kww, yes, you are correct about the ratios being the same. Sorry, I didn't describe my experience very well. Here's a better explanation. When I backtest a system...if the system generates numerous trades and achieves a 70% win ratio...when I bring that over to...
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    newbie systems development questions

    Answer to you first question. It all depends on you. What you feel comfortable with. When I first started developing systems...I developed systems that produced a high number of trades with a 60 to 70% edge. They made good money...but my personality couldn't take the beatings that the 30 to...
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    New Trader trades

    wolfen, don't you mean $16.56 instead of $15.56? OPWV hasn't traded below $16.00 today...yet. Also, what's your reasoning behind this entry? Good luck on your trading!
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    System longengevity? How long can a decent system last on average?

    I agree with ya. Funny thing about that drawdown is it can draw you down til' your completely out and then the system can return to profit in a matter of weeks leaving you in the dust. Many of those trend systems including mine hit very large drawdowns back in March 2003...just before the...
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