Recent content by jimns

  1. J

    Exponential Moving Average - Lag

    Yoohoo That's very interesting. Can you suggest where I might start with Millard? jimns
  2. J

    Exponential Moving Average - Lag

    yoohoo I agree with you about cycles - but that's another topic for another day perhaps? I, like you, haven’t seen the merit to plotting lagged EMA's or SMA's as Elder suggests so I'd just wanted to better understand what he was suggesting and why. But I’m beginning to think that...
  3. J

    Exponential Moving Average - Lag

    Advanced Don't know if you've read Ehlers paper on Signal Analysis Concepts, but you can find it here. In his paper, Ehlers explains that a simple moving average (SMA) reduces a number of periods to a single point that lags one half the width of the observation window. He then goes on to...
  4. J

    Exponential Moving Average - Lag

    As is discussed in this forum and elsewhere, any moving average has a lag. For instance, a simple moving average (SMA) has a lag of half its length so, according to Alexander Elder (Trading for a Living, Section 25. Moving Averages), a SMA would ideally be plotted half its length to the left...
  5. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    SPM signaled a ER2 long at 8:36, ran up about 10 points, and petered out about an hour later. About a 10 tick range since - better dust off your Bollinger Bands if you still want to play. jimns
  6. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    JSSPMK Better publish quickly - mathematicians and statisticians everywhere are going to be very interested in that outcome - especially the part about how the 7th hand remembers the 6 that preceded it. :confused: jimns
  7. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    JSSPMK Interesting input - thanks. I'm improving my probability much as you are but in other ways, sometimes with the MACD10, sometimes with the general direction of both MACDs (2 and 10), etc. Blackjack isn't a good example of your strategy though, you absolutely do not have better...
  8. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    Still wondering exactly how you use the SMAs? Here's what I'm doing currently: On entry, I look for a MA Xover along with a close above (or below) the 3MA and supported by some or all of the following (depending on how I feel at the time): - MACD above (or below) its average (I watch 2...
  9. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    Allaces - Can you explain that? I've got my own ideas about it but was never was clear about your use of it from the original thread. How is the 8SMA+2 used to anticipate the zlc and how is the 3SMA+2 used for re-entry? jimns
  10. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    Actually, I'm preying on the predators who are preying on the adherents who are trading the SMA. jimns
  11. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    Agreed - Although the SMA thread has been viewed over 400,000 times, only a very few of the attachments in that thread have been downloaded more than 100 times. And 90% of those probably didn't understand what they were looking at. jimns
  12. J

    Simple Profitable Method - Take 2

    What’s your experience of trading the Simple Profitable Method? Does it work for you? Have you fine-tuned it? Have you lost your shorts? (Or won your longs?) For those who care, this is the thread for discussing all of that (and more). OK - maybe you’ve never heard of the Simple...
  13. J

    Simple Profitable Method

    Snarly Nahh! There's no "curve" from the shift. It's just a shift. jimns
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