Recent content by JC69

Vulcan, great comments about the time it takes to know this stuff; I really needed to hear that after losing a quarter of my account this month ($300k) shorting NDX & RUT. Made $200k my first 4 months of trading IC and thought I had it all figured out, then decided to try directional trading...

This month I'm a IC front month BUYER for the first time (RUT & NDX), after 4 months as a seller. I switched b/c that's what my Expected Outcome Spreadsheet said to do; however, I'm finding it really difficult to be a buyer - something I didn't anticipate. I don't think I have the proper mindset...

Good comments on backtesting, and I did order 5 years of data a couple months ago (haven't received it yet :( Anyway, this may be a dumb question but I'll float it out there - I'm not sure how OptionVue calculates their percentages that I use for my IC decisions, but aren't they...

Quick background - been selling front month index 4 months and made 41% on margin, so I'm a committed seller, and new to this. I developed an "expected gain/loss" spreadsheet based on probabilities from OptionVue. Now that VIX is low, my spreadsheet shows significant expected loss from selling...