Recent content by jayboy

  1. J

    Calculation of Continuous Futures Contracts--Failure for September NQ contract

    Thanks for your exposition. I'll be interested to see whether the data vendors back-adjust the gap out of existence on Monday (both eSignal and DTN show a gap), and even more interested to see whether the gap coincides with a major topping process.
  2. J

    Calculation of Continuous Futures Contracts--Failure for September NQ contract

    But there was no gap at the March rollover of eSignal's continuous NQ chart when t-bills had about the same rate as now. Going out on a limb here, my analysis has NQ and ES above price levels where a serious reversal should occur. So actually, I'm checking for the possibility of a calculation...
  3. J

    Calculation of Continuous Futures Contracts--Failure for September NQ contract

    Data providers typically offer the opportunity to receive continuous futures contracts, i.e., data averaged over quarterly contracts such that no gap appears at the transition from the expiring contract to the nearest back-month contract. For eSignal data, a gap did occur on the continuous NQ...
  4. J

    How much does external stress reduce discretionary trading profits?

    Well, irrespective of rule-following ability, persons differ in how much strain they experience from the same amount of stress. Definitions of stress and strain from physics: Stress is the force applied to a material, divided by the material's cross-sectional area. Strain is the deformation...
  5. J

    How much does external stress reduce discretionary trading profits?

    I feel you there. But I'm really trying to ask about stress generated outside of trading, like for example a hostile neighbor or HOA.
  6. J

    How much does external stress reduce discretionary trading profits?

    Assume that you have a solid method that generates a profit every week. By what percentage would you expect that profit to decrease if a stressful event involving the actions of other people begins to impact your daily life negatively, and you cannot easily resolve the problem? None 0.05% 1.0%...
  7. J

    Trading and wash sale tracking...

    If you are trading price action, then use micro-futures, which allow flexible bet sizing and avoid the wash sale problem.
  8. J

    Price action how does it work?

    In all seriousness, it would not be time lost to understand how an ethologist studies the behavior of a previously unstudied animal species. Get a textbook on ethology and see what parallels one can draw between price action and stimulus and response of an animal. Having done ethology...
  9. J

    Traders trading separately but together.

    An office space is a bad idea. Nosey office mates or neighbors. Shared toilet. Noise. Cramped. For the same price as an office, I rented an apartment in a great complex. Quiet as can be. Private. Comfortable.
  10. J

    A message to some day traders.

    Amahrix said: Ignored and blocked. Reason: time-vampire. tommcginnis said: Your premises are demonstrably wrong, your arguments are tautological, your responses are off-point, yet this thread has gone 70-some pages. ........I hope you get the help you deserve. Tom, Your characterization of...
  11. J

    A message to some day traders.

    I have no idea why you would ascribe intentionality to price action. The appropriate question is whether there are repeatable patterns that represent high R-value opportunities. I don't, and never will, give a shit about an Apple chart because I trade index futures, on which I had five of my...
  12. J

    A message to some day traders.

    "there are protracted periods of time during a trading session where the market wanders in the noise of more or less equitable buy and sell orders. We call that “chop”." Even the sideways movement within a narrow range is setting up a future price move. There are many predictive patterns, but...
  13. J

    Big Picture Possibility... First Good, Then Very Bad

    Scataphagos said: "The bad news is that once the 5 Waves Up is completed (and Trump is going to try to make sure it isn't before the 2020 election), "that's all she wrote, folks" for this bull.... and our market/country will be in deep doo-doo with overextended debt, sky-high valuations, and...
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