Recent content by jacksmith

  1. J

    If we can predict volatility, can we profit from it ?

    I was told that we cannot predict the market movement, but we can still predict the volatility of the market, if so, can we profit from the prediction of volatility ? Thanks.
  2. J

    backtest for 3 years, blow up in 3 days,

    One common story I had heard about trading system is that, Successfully backtest for 3 year's data, yet the system blows up in 3 days, what causes this ? Thanks.
  3. J

    Typical EliteTrader's users ?

    Hi, All: Just curious about the typical profiles of EilteTrader's users ? Are you: A: An amateur individual investor B: A professional investor working for a firm C: Not an active investor D: Non Of Above If answer is D, then what do you do ? Thanks.
  4. J

    Mixing TA with FA ? or not ?

    which are some predictive indicators ? Thanks.
  5. J

    Mixing TA with FA ? or not ?

    Does this mean TA is for short term / high freq trading ?
  6. J

    Predict oil price from weather information, how ?

    then how to find dependence of Nat gas and weather ?
  7. J

    Predict oil price from weather information, how ?

    I know basic statistics very well, correlation, covariance, joint distribution, etc I do not know Factor Analysis, Principle Component Analysis, etc.
  8. J

    Predict oil price from weather information, how ?

    I assume that oil price partially depend on weather information. Since future weather is predictable to a large degree, I figure that if we can find the “dependence” of oil price against “weather”, we shall have some edge. Then, these are two sequences of data. One sequence is the...
  9. J

    Mixing TA with FA ? or not ?

    Are oscillators & indicators part of TA ?
  10. J

    Mixing TA with FA ? or not ?

    Hi, All: In your trading strategies, do you think if it is good to mix TA (Technical Analysis) with FA (Fundamental Analysis) ? or these two shall not be mixed ? I think one assumption of TA is that all fundamental information has been included in price. Thanks,
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