Recent content by i960

  1. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    What’s the new rule btw? Is it exchange related or something else? You still in the cocoa arb @TraDaToR ? I’ve been long still since we were last discussing it.
  2. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Indeed - which means when the real bear market does arrive it’s going to be endless short squeezes on the way down. That is if it’s ever allowed to actually happen. The powers that be seem all in on this one.
  3. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    Based on technicals in CC right around here I’d be inclined to start seeing some resistance in NY and as such a chance for the spread to start coming in. I mean we’re like what 3SD out on a monthly?
  4. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    I agree and to be honest I see no reason (other than the obvious of it could actually get more extreme) not to fade this. I'll probably start a position on Sunday/Monday, holding time months.
  5. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-25/u-s-cocoa-buyers-to-get-a-taste-of-africa-on-record-premium “This has never happened before, this is extraordinary,” said Jonathan Parkman, co-head of agriculture at London-based brokerage Marex Spectron Group and who has been in the market...
  6. i960

    Market Maker Complex Orders in VIX

    Can also be a verb too but it’s quite specific. http://www.crofsblogs.typepad.com/english/2005/08/effect_as_a_ver.html
  7. i960

    Averaging IN (not Averaging Down)

    So your Nostradamus trade works for you and you see it cranking seriously in your direction with no pullbacks. Do you just sit there and *not add* to the position that's clearly going your way? If you say "yes I don't add" then you don't actually have real conviction in that trade. If you say...
  8. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    Rolling dec (3days before exp) monthly arb w/ 2+3SD regression channels: How are you hedging the GBP leg, spot or futures?
  9. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-17/end-of-era-for-cocoa-as-sucden-boss-stops-trading-after-50-years
  10. i960

    Averaging IN (not Averaging Down)

    This is complete nonsense. You're presuming to know exactly what a given instrument is going to do when you enter your "full position." This might blow your mind, but people averaging in or adding to trades that are proving themselves are *also* using stops. Your hardliner methodology disposes...
  11. i960

    Why does Volume matter? Isn't non-involvement from institutional buyers itself a signal?

    That’s precisely what I’ve been saying. Check the earlier post I made. People are conflating a falling market with sellers being in control and I’m arguing that it’s instead buyers who are in control due to the bargain demand element.
  12. i960

    Why does Volume matter? Isn't non-involvement from institutional buyers itself a signal?

    The side *causing* the other side to be aggressive is in control. On the surface it may appear that the aggressor side is in control because they’re crossing the spread and hence moving price but you don’t even need a single trade for the market to move. If sellers have to move to where the...
  13. i960

    Salesforce Tower: Building San Francisco's Vertical Village | The B1M

    Seems appropriate. Just the tip?
  14. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Looks like a minor bull trap to me to be honest (as it looks a bit obvious). Wouldn't be surprised to see ES test 2600 again before finally trying for 2705 but we'll see.
  15. i960

    "We Understand The Chinese Government Has Halted Purchases Of US Treasuries": SGH

    Of course what they really want is for the Yuan to be the reserve currency and USD hegemony to end. I’m quite certain they’ve got a long term plan on how they think they can make that happen and IMO are going to try and economically “island” the US to get there. China’s involvement in South...
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