Recent content by dumb_mother

but the fed doesn't do it through the open market in clicks like that. they give everyone plenty of warning because of what might happen. i just can't believe that kind of size went off without sparking a big zn move one way or the other with one of the two sides puking it before unemployment!

anyone else notice the 28000 lot that picked off what didn't necessarily look like an honest bid yesterday after the close? i think it was at like 230 or something like that someone came in for 12k bid at 124200 then bumped it to 22k and then went to 32k and someone 1 clicked through them and...

isn't gdx the more levered play to the upside though?

sounds like you are getting screwed. it was only 100$ / month for the sim when i was training people. and i also found it to be near unusable as all of the products i traded were not listed, so we quickly moved on to the more expensive lessons of live trading. although i am and will be a...

i think it is a great quick trade- they raised enough money to fund the jamaican bobsled team and an indian i believe luger (sp). because of how absurd the main street media will view these "imaginary currencies" financing olympians i expect to see some news stories about them and a nice bounce...

well you take into account that the fy moves in 1/4 tics, the ty moves in 1/2 tics and the zb moves in full tics- since it is a butterfly and you have 2 of the "body" of the fly- if that moves 1 price it is double in terms of the position value. ie if the fy moves 1 price in a fy fly it is a .5...

each tic is 31.25$, so those ratios it's 10 tics / 1 point of fly movement on the ty fly. (312.50$) yeah the ics spreads still trade in them- but if you do the dv01 math all of my ratios are weighted heavy the long end of the spreads. but as long as they are all more or less evenly inaccurate...

well the zn fly for example if you were to buy it at those ratios you would put the following trades on: +10 zn, -6zb for the zn/zb -15 zf, +10 zn for the zf/zn leaving you with: -15 zf, +20 zn, -6 zb so it's 10 tics of p&l per 1 tic of movement in the ratio. i have no idea of the margin...

the flys i talk about are the following: fy fly -> ZTZF / ZFZN ty fly -> ZFZN / ZNZB zb fly -> ZNZB / ZBUB you can leg into each spread manually, autospread them or use the exchange supported spreads you just mentioned to leg into them that way. i execute most things manually but will...

the pain has just begun for the most recent bond shorts- have fun watching rates plummet from here. wouldn't be surprised to see ZN test 2.00% this year and a similar move in the ZB. hold on to your hats

i hope this is satire- it is crazy that i'd have to pay out my ass to get an "upgraded" broadband connection to then have my data come to me slower because the entity i'm connecting to didn't also pay to have the delivery upgraded. as we see a lot of developing nations skipping right over...

first off i couldn't figure out exactly what forum to post this in so if it is the wrong one let me know and i'll repost there or mod please move it. is the upcoming ruling on net neutrality a potential huge threat for remote traders...

the thing about trading is, every lesson is more expensive than the last as long as you are growing your account.