Recent content by dolbo

Thank you. One more question, you mentioned that if VI goes down after earnings that this may be a losing trade if I hold it. Do you mean Dec12 VI may go to a lower level than it is now? Because I am thinking if VI spikes then goes back down to the current level that should be fine...

So... let's say earnings anounced after Oct12 expiration. So Nov becomes front month. Both Nov and Dec IV goes up. Nov IV spikes higher than Dec but Nov vega is much lower. I sell days before earnings while IV is still high in anticipation. Anything wrong with this scenario?

I thought that the calendar spread typically benefits from an increase in IV due to a decaying vega of the fronth month option? Are there any historical data on AAPL option volatility on the web? I am curious to see what a typical IV skew is between the earnings month and the next month...

Yes. I noticed this spread looks sort of direction neutral, it allows quite a bit of room both up and down to stay profitable. I thought that diagonal spreads are directional. This one is perhaps slightly bearish. Yes, max profit is at 665 but it is insanely high, like 185%. So I thought...

OK, please disregard all the numbers. Let me ask a simple question. If I expect AAPL to stay within 630 and 720 until end of November, would this be a profitable trade (diagonal spread)? Long Dec12 660 at 52.30 Short Nov12 665 at 43.35 Just making sure I didn't mess...

Hi guys, I am paper trading and experimenting with various spreads. I tried this diagonal spread: Long Dec 660 call filled at 52.30 Short Nov 665 call filled at 43.35 Here is the calculated theoretical result using these values: http://opcalc.com/1NPu...

Hey guys, I am looking at after hours data for AAPL on nasdaq.com, and this is not the first time I notice something weird: there is a large order (2000-3000 shares) executed at a much higher price than the current bid/ask price. What is this? At first I thought someone forgot to set a...

Yes, high quality AAPL stock at $1K per share.

No, no pre market. Like i said, all confirmations etc look correct. Looks like a flattening glitch. I placed three separate equal size orders, all filled correct etc. And all the totals like the total basis look correct but the number of shares owned is one third less than it should be. So if...

Hi to all of you elite traders! I recently opened an account with optionshouse and all I did so far was I bought some AAPL stock worth of about 26K. I logged in my account today and to my shock it is saying that I lost 13K since Friday!!! OMG, the Black Swan stole all my money! I...

I could be wrong but I think yesterday it was somewhat different: both stock and volatility went up at some point. IV spiked then went down. But the price has been growing steadily.

Right Apple, wrong date. I posted my message yesterday (Aug 20) and you are apparently talking about today, Aug 21. But thanks for looking into this! I think my initial analysis was correct. IV did go way up on Aug 20 in anticipation of a "big move". So the option I happened to buy was...