Recent content by blcdoc

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    having trouble understanding...

    No implied vol. VERY simplistically: your own a call. spot is 100. Strike is 110. and there are 2 days until expiry. implied vol says that each day it goes up or down by 20%. (market decides this) so SIMPLISTICALLY the spot will go down: 80 then to 64. Or up: 120 then 144. So you...
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    ha. cheers
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    hahaha smashed. sorry. hope you get the idea! FFS. will shut up now. apologies
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    sorry sell 60 Dec12 synthetics
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    Oh. got it. Firstly I am a market maker. Hence try to hedge out as much exposure as I can to leave me with vol. exposure only. If I sell say a Dec12 risky for the put, 60D, then sell my 60 deltas. (June expiry futures) Then hedge a rate strip. I look to just have a vol exposure...
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    ?? i wasn't trying to be smart, just home after a couple of beers and rambled. sorry if it came across that way. I wasn't claiming to have written the model, I just move the inputs to try to fit the curve to the market across all strikes. I just try to reduce my back end exposure to things...
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    having trouble understanding...

    Don't confuse the inputs to BSM with the greeks. The inputs feed into the BSM which spits out the option price. The greeks tell you that if your inputs change by one unit, how the value of your option changes. Theta is not time, but tells you how much the option value changes with...
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    Advice on risks of box spread

    And I didn't read the numbers in your question properly,, that is WAY too much. Define exactly what sort of box you mean??
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    Advice on risks of box spread

    Margining is your risk. My model prices using euribor futures for the interest rate, because that is what I hedge with, as that is what my market exposure is. I am margined however on EONIA +/- a spread depending on if i am long or short premium. This difference may give the appearance...
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    Don't know why I attached that quote Martinghoul... I agree with everything that you have said. It was in reference to your anti short gamma line. Which I agree with generally.
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    Well when I had my ass handed to me last thursday, I started flat vol, long gamma, long theta... a dream right?!! - It was a position that I had got myself into in a quiet market trying to eek out some stress free cash. Unfortunately this had been done at the expense of being short skew (long...
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    LONG the underlying. I dreamt of being short!!
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    I was short buckets of vol and front skew last Thursday/Friday... it was NASTY!! and I must say it felt decidedly worse than being short the underlying...:eek:
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    OK got it!! We been smashed to bits after selling deep OTM puts which have gone ITM by expiry... and our recovery option is now "risk-taking". Bring it on!!
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    Why isn't everybody selling options?

    It is exactly the same thing. Your recovery example makes no sense in a liquid market. I am not sure why owning an asset of which we have no knowledge of its future value is a recovery option, unless it is an illiquid market which makes it difficult to get the asset (clearly not the SPY). In...
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