when a market is making a significant high or low, the larger players are converting their longs to shorts and vice versa, it takes time, if you are going to try and trade these , say a top, leg in , a few below the tl, a few above and be patient, use a wider stop , and a wider target to close
this market is run by billions , trillions of world wide govt's printed monopoly money, making it extremely manipulated, you would have better luck being a mouse in the room of the fed meetings
gary , not a math novice , lower that that, but you do realize that this hypo applied to a gs ,fed,ppt market is , just a guess, only workable in 3 or 4 year time frames, about how often they clean up the books