Recent content by BinaryMan

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    Tracking MSFT

    [Excel file won't post for some reason]
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    Tracking MSFT

    I am testing out a new trading method using a long-term statistical volume distribution. In the attached Excel file, I plotted this for the last 5 years. While finding a "good" price is subjective, here I am using a strategy where the upper/lower 25% of the distribution is my trigger price. The...
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    MSFT dropping like a stone.

    My point here in terms of stock price is that it looks like short-term traders or daytraders are "catching the falling knife" but I'd be wary to long the stock at its current price as the "big money" is dumping their stocks. I don't really care about the news; I just view it as the normal stock...
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    MSFT dropping like a stone.

    It appears the institutional investors are getting out. A lot of traders are pushing against this trend, but at the end of the day when people dump their position we see the price fall because that is the net trade balance of the actual trend. While no one knows where the bottom is, the attached...
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    How can institutional trades be tracked?

    I recall a few sites that would show the quantities of block trading, but haven't been able to find anything recently. The latest reports on public sites like MSN (showing mostly selling off of stocks) are from 3-31-08; I figure there is some more recent data either on trades or ownership, at...
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    Is it possible to use IB for long-term options trading in a Roth IRA?

    OK. I also wanted to verify whether or not they would lock additional funds beyond the option premiums because their IRA FAQ says: "... buying calls (funds equal to the aggregate exercise value of the long calls are restricted), and buying puts (shares subject to exercise are restricted)..."...
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    Is it possible to use IB for long-term options trading in a Roth IRA?

    I know that IB can grant Level I options trading privaledges on a Roth IRA account, but my research indicates that some brokers offer Level II options trading as well. I would like the capacity to buy both puts and calls for intermediate term trades, particularly since these accounts do not...
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    Why is "ADD" called a disorder, let alone "treated"?

    I understand that, but people with mood disorders are typically anxious/insecure most of the time; thinking independently is more difficult when you have doubts about your own thought process and its validity because of this, which makes it difficult to be around other people at times. I know...
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    Market Simulations - Interacting Strategies

    Here is an example of price response when all participants are noise traders (long trades only, no strategy, small random chance each cycle to buy or sell if have holdings).
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    Market Simulations - Interacting Strategies

    That type of scenario sounds a lot like some of the academic papers and simulations I've read (awhile back, foggy on the details). I'm actually trying to do it based on real-life market structure (such as NASDAQ or NYSE model, or at least supporting limit orders) and evolving trader strategies...
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    Market Simulations - Interacting Strategies

    I wrote a simple program to model a market with 4 trader strategies (screenshot included): 1. Fundamental analysis 2. Trend followers 3. Counter-trend followers 4. Noise traders (to maintain market activity) The strategies are simple but each trader (500 in this example) has a different...
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