Recent content by austrijec

8.5 % of return ?

so what you are saying it was badly executed bluff. Other option is, there is more bad news in the pipeline so keeping people from selling now. I think second option has higher than random chance.

me long with a small stop.. so far in the global day, making money.

Indians are as good as anyone to take out loan. 100K each say... 1.5b people, 300M loans x 100K = 30 trillion of loans. Why do you think US shares up. Maybe because they positioned well in India and some other places... saying that do have hesitation to buy into this story as there are some...

Jews are great survivors and I respect them. They learn from mistakes, unlike others. Essential, they exist for good of the world and feed off stupidity. If not, people would be even stupider. Now at least they increase IQ for 0.2 every couple of decades/centuries because suffering is the only...

sorry file too large to upload. Can you please check this cut down version of excel for validity. I calc median only up to point t-1 as one could argue that median generated from data still not known at point t and could be the reason for bias.

My results are multiplied by -1 but confirm bias. Is my logic in excel correct? Sim runs for a 1 min or so on my pc.

HUH ! And I though my math/stat knowledge is superior :confused: -51 -149 -3 -167 -143 out of 20K X 5 random steps. Must be excel bug and does not really generate random stuff. :confused: :confused:

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See your point and what bothers me is this: US & other govt see that stimulus money ends up paying back loans and not enough spending. People saw glimpse of bad times and are now scared having a loan and want off the hook. All predictable. Stimulus unexpectedly continues to achieve objective...

you told me before markets are not evil and not after you. They dont care, right ?! HAHAHAHA ! suggest to calm down and sit down and do analysis of these emotional bursts in your past. See what happened after. At least for me, there is significant consistency. Who said trading is not easy :cool:

if and when, what will be the impact of securitisation? depressed financial stocks ?

agree. will add that i expect not large dip. some markets gone up too far to call it retracement or bluff. look aud for example or aussie banks. funny that on the day of high argentina market kissed all time high! my long term position remains buy commodities.

right. not everywhere are goverments soo corrupt to allow this... this is long term suicide for the country ... only jobs left will be in RE, and lending... well maybe.

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