Recent content by 5to12

  1. 5

    shrinking capitalism

    INVENTION FIRST THEN INNOVATION AND GENERALIZATION ALL TOGETHER CAN = TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTION OF WHICH I BELIEVE THERE HAVE BEEN THREE SINCE MAS//MENOS 1800 LAST ONE KICKED IN AROUND 1943 AND HAS FADED -- MORE RECENT ITC TOO LIMITED SHIFT TO PRACTICAL FUSION...
  2. 5

    BIOD. On. Fire.

    ''And as far as posting trade records goes, he could always post the good entries and not post the bad entries. Unless he posts trades -- proof of trades -- in real time, the facts can be manipulated.'' ------------------------------------------------ Had not quite same on another board a few...
  3. 5

    GET READY!!!!!!! 5% rise or fall in a stock in 5 minutes, stock halts.

    Try the BOVESPA -- Just a biased notion but, back in '02 when it became clear that the Workers Party candidate, Lula da Silva, would win the forthcoming pres. election, most of the MSM were depicting him as some hard-core former labor leader Leftist who could only make things worse. Clearly...
  4. 5

    Janet Yellen vs Larry Summers

    Actually, I think the Gramms [plural] had more to do with the CFMA than Summers -- chk out Sen. Gramm's wife's positions/activities.
  5. 5

    Janet Yellen vs Larry Summers

    Or rate of inflation greater than rate of interest -- U.S. had negative int. rates for a period during early 1980s [and likely other times as well]. Nothing tricky about it.
  6. 5

    Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

    =====U================================= Used to be a commodities rout was sneaky, quick and Large -- then, c 1999-2001 a new capital allocation model gained prominence and commodity markets increasingly financialized, pushing prices far far beyond fundamentals. Finally breaking partially as...
  7. 5

    Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

    Other than the date, sounds like some type of roll -- Goldman's Commodity Roll - http://www.traders.com/Documentation/FEEDbk_docs/2003/08/Abstracts_new/Barrie/barr.html
  8. 5

    Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

    have, since at least the 2000 Commodity Futures Modernization Act [CFMA] contained more than true commercials but also the Index Funds/Swap Dealers complex,,,which grew qute a bit during that decade as new capital allocation model[s] were put in place and as more money flowed to...
  9. 5

    Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

    Dunstan, Just wondering whether you look at the 'Supplemental Report' and associated 'CIT' which breaks out the Index Funds [which L/S ratios are extreme as is their total size]. A glance few minutes ago made clear this remains the case, even as it had pre-2008 [but not quite so extreme now...
  10. 5

    Buying puts safer than calls

    Second Thanks. I didn't realize the monthly avg. diff. was so great.
  11. 5

    Janet Yellen vs Larry Summers

    Anyway, earlier on, this -- ''Bonds are not commodities. This is a discussion on bonds and how they produce intrinsic value.'' Actually in the old, more complete, relationship, bonds are commodities but - as fictitious capital - absolutely unproductive; relying upon value created in the...
  12. 5

    20 reasons why Oil to NEVER hit $135.00 again...dated: May 22, 2008

    monty21, At least you recognize it for what it is, speculation; it is amazing how many believe that what is only a market related price is set by fundamentals and high probability expectations. 'Market related' means that the modern oil price regime is one of formula pricing in which...
  13. 5

    20 reasons why Oil to NEVER hit $135.00 again...dated: May 22, 2008

    Right, backwardation is more the normal but the market was also in contango for somewhat more than two years, 2005-07, which really helped drive the oil storage trade: buy, place in storage, sell futures for higher price, close existing contracts before delivery date, sell new ones; the physical...
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